May 2011

Foxtel bids A$1.9bn for rival Austar

Austar United Communications, the Australian pay-television group majority owned by US billionaire John Malone’s Liberty Global, said an indicative A$1.9bn (US$2bn) takeover bid from rival Foxtel had been pitched at an “appropriate” value.

The May 26 offer from Foxtel, half-owned by Australian telecoms group Telstra with 25 per cent stakes held by Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp and James Packer’s Consolidated Media, potentially ends close to a decade of failed negotiations between the media investors on merging Australia’s two biggest pay-TV groups. A successful deal would combine Austar’s regional network with Foxtel’s metropolitan operations and generate cost savings of close to A$70m a year, analysts said. It comes after a delegation from Foxtel, led by chief executive Kim Williams, flew to Denver earlier this year to discuss a potential deal. The A$1.52 a share cash offer was pitched at a 20 per cent premium to Austar’s Wednesday close of A$1.265. The shares were up at A$1.37 by lunch time in Sydney. The deal will face scrutiny by Australia’s competition regulator although analysts said the country’s relatively low pay-TV penetration rates, a strong terrestrial TV sector and the rise of Internet-based entertainment would encourage the authorities to clear the transaction.

Reps Markey, Conyers Oppose AT&T-T-Mobile Merger

Two senior members of Congress announced their opposition to AT&T’s proposed acquisition of rival T-Mobile USA, saying it would be a “historic mistake.” Rep. Ed Markey (D-MA), a senior member of the House Commerce Committee, and House Judiciary ranking member John Conyers (D-MI) both called on regulators to block the proposed $39 billion merger.

Rep Markey wrote legislation in 1993 requiring the release of 200 megahertz of spectrum for private-sector uses such as mobile phones. He said if the AT&T/T-Mobile merger is approved, it will return the country to a time when the nation’s wireless market was dominated by two players who had little incentive to innovate or lower prices. AT&T and Verizon are aiming to “divide the country up into Bell East and Bell West,” Markey said. “That’s the inevitable result that will occur if agreement is given to this proposed merger.”

Rep Conyers called for more hearings on the merger than just the one currently scheduled by Judiciary. He said he would like to hear from Sprint, which opposes the merger, and the Communications Workers of America, which has more than 40,000 AT&T wireless union members and is backing the merger.

Some consumer and public-interest groups joined the lawmakers in their concern that the merger will lead to higher prices for consumers and stifle innovation in the wireless space. Andrew Jay Schwartzman with the Media Access Project said T-Mobile has been innovative by being the first to offer new products such as Google’s Android smartphone and offering lower-priced plans than the three other major carriers. He noted that mergers involving a “maverick” carrier like T-Mobile require extra antitrust scrutiny by the Justice Department. Public Knowledge President Gigi Sohn criticized AT&T’s takeover of T-Mobile, saying, “It would be hard to imagine a takeover that could do more harm to consumers.”

These Companies Hate the AT&T/T-Mobile Merger

The grumbles are beginning to pop up over AT&T’s attempted $39 billion takeover of T-Mobile. Here is a rundown of public comments from wireless carriers, and some subtext to explain their positions in terms of self-interest:

  • Verizon: Some industry analysts say Verizon Wireless, jointly owned by Verizon and U.K.’s Vodafone, could get a lift if AT&T strips low-cost rival T-Mobile from the market. At the same time, AT&T could be distracted for a year or more securing all the necessary government clearances for the deal, and then integrating T-Mobile into the fold. The lull might help Verizon poach subscribers from its biggest competitor.
  • Sprint: If the merger goes through, Sprint will be a distant No. 3 in the U.S. wireless market, which is increasingly looking like a two-man race.
  • MetroPCS: Wireless companies may privately grumble about the AT&T-T-Mobile deal. But they also have to position themselves under the basket to pick up any rebounds. In this case, rebounds would be any subscribers or other assets the government might force AT&T and T-Mobile to sell as a condition of their merger. Spectrum — or the airwaves that carry signals for phone signals and wireless-Internet data — will be a particularly hot ticket for MetroPCS if its rivals need to throw assets overboard.
  • Leap Wireless: Smaller, localized carriers such as Leap do matter in the proposed mega-merger. The Department of Justice is expected to scrutinize the AT&T deal for its effects on competition for wireless service in individual towns and cities — the markets where Leap’s Cricket wireless service and other mid-tier carriers sometimes beat up on big dogs like AT&T and Verizon.

Free Press Requests AT&T/T-Mobile Studies Be Made Public

In a conversation with Federal Communications Commission staff, Free Press is urging the FCC to make public numerous academic studies, economic analyses, and other reports that are not publicly available by relied upon by AT&T and T-Mobile in their arguments in favor of AT&T's acquisition.

In particular, AT&T and T-Mobile rely on the following studies and analyst reports:

  • The Nielsen Company, Carrier Share of Smartphone Subscribers – Q4 2010
  • The Nielsen Company, Q4 2010 Q4 Mobile Insights: National Report
  • The Nielsen Company, Q4 2010 Nielsen Mobile Retail &Customer Service Insights
  • “[T]wo recent surveys”
  • Strategy Analytics, US Wireless Market Outlook (2010-2015)
  • Verizon and Sprint react to US mega deal, Mobile Business Briefing (Mar. 22, 2011)
  • Deutsche Bank Analyst Report, MetroPCS Comm. Increasing 4Q10 Net Adds on Positive Channel Checks (Jan. 4, 2011)
  • Current Analysis, Company Assessment: T-Mobile USA (Jan. 18, 2011)
  • J.P. Morgan, North America Equity Research, U.S. Telecom Services & Towers (Jan. 13, 2011)
  • Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Telekom, US Options—No Easy Way Out (Jan. 10, 2011)

NBC's new deal with affiliates may be topic of discussion at FCC

NBC appears to have reached a peace accord on the retransmission issue with its local television station partners. The network and its affiliates are positioning this as a win for them and consumers. Though the two sides have not said what the split of so-called retransmission consent fees would be, the idea is that the stations have a better chance of getting more money from distributors if they team up and have NBC fronting for them than if they go it alone. But NBC’s plans may hit a bump in the road in the form of the Federal Communications Commission.

Earlier this year, after getting heat from Congress following several high-profile disputes between cable operators and programmers that led to or nearly led to service disruptions, the FCC launched a proceeding to review its retransmission consent rules to determine whether there were some actions it could take that would limit disruptions to consumers and make for smoother negotiations between programmers and distributors. One of the aspects the FCC said it wanted to look at was the role a network played in the negotiation efforts of its affiliate. Specifically, the FCC said it wanted comments on “whether it would be a per se violation for a station to agree to give a network with which it is affiliated the right to approve a retransmission consent agreement with an MVPD (Multichannel Video Programming Distributor) or to comply with such an approval position.” Although NBC’s deal with its affiliates is not specifically what the FCC is seeking comment on, it is virtually the same thing. By turning over negotiating rights to NBC, the affiliates are basically letting the networks sign off on the contracts. Cable operators are likely to make noise at the FCC about NBC’s efforts. Distributors would rather negotiate with one station in one town than a network representing multiple stations.

Rep Dingell: Finish Retransmission by End of Year

Reps. John Dingell (D-MI) and Jo Ann Emerson (R-MO) have called on the Federal Communications Commission to complete its retransmission consent review by the end of the year, which would be before the next round of Dec. 31 contract expirations.

Rep Dingell did not weigh in on the substance of the issue beyond saying that the FCC's recognition of its limited authority suggested it could get the item moved by the end of the year deadline, though he did say that "reasonable action by the commission" would "provide greater certainty in the video marketplace and ultimately benefit the American consumer."

Rep Emerson went beyond the date issue to hit on points raised by American Television Alliance (cable operators, satellite operators and others), which petitioned the FCC to open the retransmission review. She said she had heard from some of her state's smaller pay-TV providers about the possibility of increased signal losses due to impasses and consumer disaffection and dislocation. Rep Emerson was all for new rules of the road for retrans. "With more than a thousand carriage deals set to expire by the end of this year," she said, "it is essential that the commission have new rules in place to help avoid the types of carriage disruptions for consumers that we've seen increasingly occur."

Judiciary Committee Set to Pass Anti-Piracy Bill

The PROTECT IP Act, a bill aimed at cracking down on rogue sites that steal content or sell counterfeit goods, is on the fast track.

Introduced by Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT) just two weeks ago, the bill will go before the Senate Judiciary Committee, which he chairs. It's likely to sail through the committee, especially because 12 of the committee's 18 members are co-sponsors. The content community—TV programmers, the movie and music industries, book publishers, and entertainment unions—has been pushing for legislation for years. A version of this bill legislation passed the committee 19-0 last year, only to be stopped by Sen. Ron Wyden (D-OR), who put a hold on it. Google Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt has come out strongly against the bill. A group of 13 public interest organizations, including the Electronic Frontier Foundation, Public Knowledge, and the Center for Democracy and Technology, chimed in with a letter sent Wednesday to Leahy and ranking member Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa. Acknowledging the Protect IP Act as an improvement over last year's version, the groups said they are still concerned about provisions that would allow Internet service providers to interfere with domain name look up services as well as what they consider overly broad requirements for search engines and hyperlinks.

House panel worries that Obama cybersecurity plan could open door to abuse

Federal cybersecurity officials got a cold reception from House lawmakers on both sides of the aisle who questioned whether White House cyber proposals could result in abuse and government intrusion.

Officials from the Justice, Homeland Security, and Commerce departments who testified before the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Intellectual Property, Competition, and the Internet faced pointed questions about the White House Cyberspace Policy Review unveiled last week. Lawmakers on the panel worried that the Administration's plan provides too much government control in cybersecurity issues. The proposal would grant legal immunity to companies that cooperate with federal cyber investigations. That, the subcommittee's ranking member, Melvin Watt (D-NC), said, sounds a lot like the controversial retroactive immunity given to telecom companies that helped in the government's warrantless wiretapping program after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. "These companies could then do something that's unconstitutional just because you say it's not," he said. "People get very uncomfortable with the idea that the government can just call up someone, demand information, and then provide them immunity."

Sen. Al Franken calls for app privacy policies

Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) is pressing Apple and Google to require all apps made for iPhones, Androids and other devices to have privacy policies that detail when those games and other tools track a user’s location and why.

Sen Franken expressed concern that neither tech company has such a rule in place, even though they maintain the largest clearinghouses of smartphone apps, according to a letter Sen Franken sent to both companies’ CEOs. “Requiring that each app in your stores have a clear, understandable privacy policy would not resolve most of the privacy concerns in the mobile market,” wrote Sen Franken, chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee’s new privacy panel. “But it would be a simple first step that would provide users, privacy advocates and federal consumer protection authorities a minimum of information about what information an app will access and how that app will share that information with third parties,” he added.

CBO’s Estimates of ARRA’s Impact on Employment and Economic Output for the First Quarter of 2011

As required by law, CBO prepares regular reports on its estimate of the number of jobs created by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA), which is often referred to as the economic stimulus package.

In its latest report, CBO provides estimates of ARRA’s overall impact on employment and economic output in the first quarter of calendar year 2011, which differ only slightly from those presented in its previous report (issued in February 2011). CBO estimates that ARRA’s policies had the following effects in the first quarter of calendar year 2011:

  • They raised real (inflation-adjusted) gross domestic product by between 1.1 percent and 3.1 percent,
  • Lowered the unemployment rate by between 0.6 percentage points and 1.8 percentage points,
  • Increased the number of people employed by between 1.2 million and 3.3 million, and
  • Increased the number of full-time-equivalent (FTE) jobs by 1.6 million to 4.6 million compared with what would have occurred otherwise. (Increases in FTE jobs include shifts from part-time to full-time work or overtime and are thus generally larger than increases in the number of employed workers).