FCC Releases Wireless Competition Report
On May 20, the Federal Communications Commission released its 14th annual report on the state of competition in the mobile wireless industry. The report -- which reflects the agency's commitment to upgrading all competition reports -- will create a solid foundation for predictable, fact-based wireless policy.
Unlike previous reports, which examined competition in the provision of Commercial Mobile Radio Services (CMRS), this year's report integrates CMRS into the broader mobile ecosystem, including mobile voice, messaging, and broadband services. For the first time, the report also includes data on the many interrelated "upstream" and "downstream" market segments of the mobile ecosystem -- including spectrum, infrastructure, and devices -- each of which has the potential to affect competition.
The report, which reflects market conditions existing in 2008 and much of 2009, identifies the following key trends, among others, in the mobile wireless industry:
- Innovation in and around devices and applications: Handset manufacturers have introduced a growing number of new smartphones -- 67 in 2008 and 2009 -- that provide mobile Internet access and other data services, and provide many of the functionalities of personal computers.
- Transition to a data-centric market: Data traffic has grown significantly, with the increased adoption of smartphones and data consumption per device.
- Role of spectrum for mobile broadband: Especially as mobile wireless broadband usage grows, access to spectrum becomes increasingly important for competition. While many wireless service providers have access to significant amounts of mobile spectrum, most of the spectrum below 1 GHz, in both the cellular band and the 700 MHz band, is not widely held.
- Maturation of the mobile voice segment: As of the end of 2008, 90 percent of Americans had a mobile wireless device.
- Continued industry concentration: There appears to be increasing concentration in the mobile wireless market. One widely-used measure of industry concentration indicates that concentration has increased 32 percent since 2003 and 6.5 percent in 2008.
- Robust capital investment but declining relative to industry size: Providers continue to invest significant capital in networks, despite the recent economic downturn. One source reports capital investment at around $25 billion in both 2005 and 2008, while another shows that capital investment declined from around $25 billion to around $20 billion during the same period. Because industry revenue has continued to grow, both sources show that capital investment has declined as a percentage of industry revenue over the same period (from 20 percent to 14 percent).
FCC Chairman Julius Genachowski said, "This Report does not seek to reach an overly-simplistic yes-or-no conclusion about the overall level of competition in this complex and dynamic ecosystem, comprised of multiple markets. Instead, the Report complies with Congress's mandate to assess market conditions by providing data on trends in competition and choice over time - an approach that fits best with the role of the FCC as a fact-based, data-driven agency responsible for promoting competition and protecting consumers, and fostering investment and innovation."
While praising some aspects of the report and the wireless industry, FCC Commissioner Michael Copps also raised some concerns: "Unfortunately this report's findings are not always encouraging. Some are downright sobering-and worrying, too. Specifically, the Report confirms something I have been warning about for years-that competition has been dramatically eroded and is seriously endangered by continuing consolidation and concentration in our wireless markets. One number sticks out like a sore thumb: the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index-a widely-recognized and highly-credible measurement of industry concentration-shows that the concentration of mobile wireless service providers has skyrocketed to a weighted average of 2848. That's a jump of nearly 700 since we first calculated this metric a mere 7 years ago! So without denying those things that are right in the wireless world-and they are many-the facts also tell us that some things are not right. And that should flash a bright caution light for this Commission as we go about the business of advancing competition and consumer well-being in the Broadband Age. We are going to need an extra dose of vigilance going forward and use whatever policy levers we have available to ensure good outcomes for American consumers."
Commissioner Robert McDowell said, "[W]e have not identified new or particularly revealing information that would prevent us from opining as to 'whether or not there is effective competition,' as the statute requires. Further, by its terms, the report seeks to identify 'areas where it would be fruitful to inquire whether policy levers could produce superior outcomes.' This point in particular is outside the scope of our statutory mandate to produce the report, and appears to lay the foundation for more regulation. Furthermore, I cannot support this new theory as it suggests that government policy would manufacture a better result than the everyday choices made by consumers in a competitive marketplace. If nothing else, the report shows that the wireless sector is dynamic, ever-improving and responsive to consumer demand. Thus, we all should tread cautiously - especially industry players. Keep in mind that seeking regulation of your competitor today may well harm your company tomorrow."