June 2010

Video games to triple music market by 2014

The global video games market will expand to three times the size of the recorded music market by 2014, according to a new study highlighting further profound shifts in consumers' and advertisers' media spending over the next five years.

Growth in online, mobile and casual gaming will drive a compound annual growth rate of 10.5 per cent in consumer spending on video games - the strongest growth in the media sector, says PwC's annual Global Entertainment and Media Outlook. This will take the industry's revenues from $51bn to $84bn by 2014, PwC forecasts, contrasting with revenues of $28bn for recorded music. The forecast comes as the games industry is gathering in Los Angeles for the E3 trade show this week after a weak year in which US sales fell and global growth sputtered to 2.2 per cent.

Video games based on new movies take a hit

The romance between Hollywood and the video game industry is hitting the skids. A few years ago, game publishers were regularly releasing video games adapted from movies and tied to their opening in theaters. The games were routinely knocked by players and critics alike for their poor quality, but since they were cheap to produce and rode the coattails of a film's marketing budget, the business was a no-brainer for video game companies. As the game industry gathers in Los Angeles this week to show off its upcoming titles at the annual Electronic Entertainment Expo, movie-based games are few and far between. In 2008, 19 video games based on new movies were released. Last year, there were 15. This year, 11. So far only four games based on movies have been announced for 2011, though at least four more are expected.

In defence of Apple

[Commentary] Apple long ago shed the image of precocious upstart. Now that its technology sets the pace for consumer gadgets, habits of secrecy and control are prompting competitors, collaborators and government to start ejecting toys from prams. There is, however, an important difference between self-interested business decisions and anti-competitive abuse of power. An early lead in an emergent market for apps is no monopoly. The iPhone is not even the most popular smartphone, let alone dominant in mobile phones generally. Apple can and should do what it likes with its own products, leaving consumers to decide if they like the outcome - and take the risk, as happened to Apple in the 1990s, that they end up coalescing around someone else's products. Indeed, the presence of a competitive market is what prompted authorities to approve Google's $750m purchase of Admob in the first place. Furthermore, given the privacy debates prompted by Facebook and Google's use of data, a backlash seems likely when the public notices advertisers tracking their mobile habits. Controlling that process is an exercise in brand protection for a maker of highly personal and personalized hardware. Apple could be less secretive about its plans and intentions, but there is no need to make it play nice.

Murdoch seeks full control of BSkyB, but meets resistance

Directors of British Sky Broadcasting have rebuffed an initial attempt by Rupert Murdoch's News Corp to take full control of the UK satellite broadcaster he founded 21 years ago.

Murdoch's approach for the 61 per cent he does not already control valued the company at 700p per share, or close to £12bn, compared with a closing price on Monday of 600.5p. That suggests a full bid could cost News Corp more than £7bn, or almost twice as much as its $5.8bn acquisition of Dow Jones in 2007. Regulatory hurdles to a formal bid from the majority shareholder could be the biggest obstacle to completing a formal bid. BSkyB's directors are understood to be pressing for a higher offer in part to compensate shareholders for the long wait they would face for a bid to clear.

Silicon Valley readies for privacy battle

In the wake of a series of privacy missteps by Google, Facebook and other companies, a growing chorus on Capitol Hill is calling for major online privacy legislation and Silicon Valley companies are girding for the battle.

Washington politicians say they are increasingly concerned about how Silicon Valley's treatment of personal data could infringe on constituents' online privacy. Even as Congress begins to debate a controversial bill intended to update online privacy rules, a constant drip of headlines this spring about privacy problems affecting Google, Facebook and, now, Apple, has caused several congressional committees, the Obama administration, and members of Congress from both political parties to home in on the issue. "While privacy concerns have ebbed and flowed, I think it is fair to say that they are at an all-time high now," said Jim Dempsey, vice president for public policy for the Center for Democracy & Technology.

FCC Urged To Block Tribune TV Move

Groups opposed to media consolidation are asking to Federal Communications Commission to block the transfer of Tribune Co.'s TV stations to a group of creditors that is struggling to bring the financially beleaguered media company out of bankruptcy.

"Many of the same creditors that contributed to the ill-advised transaction that buried the Tribune Company in debt now seek unprecedented waivers to allow them to complete their looting of the assets of one of the nation's major media companies," the advocacy groups said. "Their applications should be dismissed or denied." The petition to deny was filed Monday night by Free Press, Media Alliance, NABET/CWA, National Hispanic Media Coalition, Office of Communication of the United Church of Christ and the Benton Foundation. The Tribune creditors have asked the FCC for the extension of waivers of media ownership limits so that they can own newspapers and broadcast stations in five markets, including Chicago and Los Angeles, as well as two TV stations in one of those markets, Hartford (CT).

When the media's big story spills over from day to day

[Commentary] Do you think you have seen that gull before? You don't suppose the TV news folks are recycling oily birds from the Exxon Valdez disaster, do you? Or that they have video files bulging with stock pathetic pelicans, glum inky crabs and sad-sack oysters?

Coverage of the BP oil spill has certainly reached marathon status, the kind of thing still likely to lead on the evening newscasts -- so likely that the networks risk evoking "oh not that again" reactions from viewers. It's an unhappy fact of TV news life: the bigger the story's significance, the longer it rules the newscasts -- and the greater the danger the public will tune out. To keep the story interesting -- and thus fertilizing to the Nielsens -- TV news turns it into another story, or several other stories, with the gulf spill reduced to background, the same way pictures of oil-covered water become mere backdrops to the shocked correspondents who speak feverishly in the foreground.

Blame Game Intensifies in the Gulf Oil Saga

With oil still gushing and criticism mounting, the runaway deep-sea well in the Gulf of Mexico topped the mainstream news agenda last week for the fifth consecutive time -- making it one of the biggest stories of the year so far.

The subject accounted for 34% of the newshole from June 7-13, according to the Pew Research Center's Project for Excellence in Journalism. Although coverage has decreased slightly each of the past two weeks, the spill has become the first story in 14 months to command at least 30% of the newshole for three consecutive weeks. (The economy, driven by the debate over the stimulus package, did so for nine weeks in 2009, from late January through late March.) Last week, the narrative appeared to be shifting somewhat. While efforts to contain and clean the spill still led the coverage -- as they have in recent weeks -- questions about the effectiveness of the response by well-owner BP and the government gained a larger share of attention. And commentators on both the left and the right stepped up criticism of President Obama's leadership in the crisis.

FCC plan 'relegates' rural areas to 'second class'

The National Broadband Plan relegates rural areas to "second class" broadband capacity and widens the so-called digital divide, a bipartisan group of 22 senators charged in a letter to Federal Communications Commission Chairman Julius Genachowski.

Among those who signed last week's letter were Sens. Byron Dorgan (D-ND), Patrick Leahy (D-VT), Herb Kohl (D-WI), Max Baucus (D-MT), Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) and John Barrasso (R-WY). It follows a similar House effort last month in which a bipartisan group of 42 members expressed opposition to parts of the National Broadband Plan, the FCC's decade-long agenda for getting everyone in the U.S. online and boosting broadband speeds across the country. Both letters charged that the agency is not ambitious enough with its broadband goals for rural America, especially in comparison with its targets for cities.

Now in Blogs, Product Placement

As blogs take their place alongside traditional media, their writers must grapple with how to take advantage of moneymaking opportunities, steer clear of federal regulations -- and remain their ornery independent selves.

The promise of a blog lies in its unfiltered voice. Yet the lure of profit is no less powerful for the Web-only writer than for the print reporter. It's just that most print reporters operate with at least some institutional oversight. The federal government has recently stepped in to fill this role for bloggers, issuing new guidelines and stepping up enforcement to help ensure that any marketing campaigns are properly disclosed. Advertising remains within the bounds of the Federal Trade Commission Act, which outlaws deceptive marketing. For example, a blogger must be clear about any "material connections" with a sponsor, especially if these would not be expected by the reader.