What the e-book settlement means for publishers, Apple and you

If you bought an e-book from one of the five big publishers between April 1, 2010 and May 23, 2012, you will get a 25-cent refund for each old title you bought and $1.32 if the title was a recent New York Times bestseller.

The refund will come in the form of a credit to your Amazon, Barnes & Noble or iTunes account; you’ll get a check if you bought from Sony or Google. The retailers have your email address so it will not be hard to notify you. This is a micro-windfall that you probably weren’t expecting, so it’s all to the good. The only catch is that it will be a long time coming. U.S. District Judge Denise Cote has to stamp the deal — and there’s a good chance she won’t while the case is ongoing against Apple and two hold-out publishers. Realistically, we’re talking years before that $1.32 credit hits your iTunes account. If the two hold-out publishers and Apple finally decide to settle, you may get another small credit.

Unlike the publishers, Apple has more lawyers than the state of Connecticut. It can (and will) fight this thing forever. At the same time, Apple has a stronger defense than the publishers — it wasn’t in the room or on the phone when many parts of the alleged conspiracy took place. Apple, which says it did nothing wrong, may also be concerned with protecting the commission model of its iTunes store (if the government wins on e-books, will it come after apps or music pricing next?). Finally, if the two other publishers fold and join the settlement, the government may quietly close the case against Apple rather than risk losing an expensive and high-profile court fight.